Posted on
May 19, 2025
by
Alan Swinamer
If you’ve been keeping an eye on the Canadian housing market—or considering a move—you might be wondering what’s next for home prices.
To understand where the market may be heading, we can look at projections from prominent Canadian financial institutions and real estate boards.
The Key Takeaway? Prices Are Still Rising—Just at a Slower Pace
Major Canadian banks and the Canadian Real Estate Association (CREA) generally forecast continued, but moderated, growth in home prices. For example:
RBC Economics projected a 2.2% increase in the national average home price in 2025 in a forecast from December 2024.
TD Economics anticipated a more significant rebound in national average home prices, with a forecast of a 4.9% increase in 2025, as of their November 2024 outlook.
CREA revised its forecast in March 2025, predicting a 2.5% increase in the national average home price for 2025.
These figures reflect a shift from the rapid growth seen over the past few years, particularly during the pandemic-driven boom. While the pace is moderating, home values are still climbing—just at a more sustainable rate.
What This Means for Buyers and Sellers
For Buyers
A slower pace of growth may bring more balance to the Canadian market. This could mean fewer intense bidding wars and more time to make thoughtful decisions. While prices aren’t going down significantly on a national level, buyers may find it a bit easier to compete than in previous years, especially as inventory levels improve in some regions.
For Sellers
It’s still a good time to list, but strategy matters. With home values continuing to rise, sellers who price appropriately and present their homes well can still attract strong offers. Today’s Canadian buyers are more selective, making preparation, staging, and effective marketing more important than ever.
The Market Is Adjusting—Not Crashing
What we’re seeing in the Canadian housing market is a healthy adjustment, not a downturn. The market is finding its balance, which is a positive sign for long-term stability and affordability. Factors like interest rate stability and a growing population continue to underpin demand.
Remember: Real Estate Is Local
While national trends provide a big-picture view, local market conditions ultimately drive your experience. For instance, major urban centres like Vancouver and Toronto often experience different dynamics than smaller cities or rural areas. If you're curious about what these changes mean in your neighbourhood, reach out for a personalized look at your local Canadian market.